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MY FEARLESS FORECAST
OSCAR WINNERS 2025 

Oscar 2025 nominations have been announced, with EMILIA PEREZ leading with 13 nominations, followed by THE BRUTALIST and WICKED with 10 nominations each, rounded up by CONCLAVE and A COMPLETE UNKNOWN with 8 each. Other noteworthy contenders were ANORA, THE SUBSTANCE, and the surprise entry I'M STILL HERE from Brazil. Unexpected announcements include Sebastian Stan and Jeremy Strong for THE APPRENTICE as well as Felicity Jones for THE BRUTALIST and Monica Barbaro for A COMPLETE UNKNOWN. Notable snubs were director Edward Berger for CONCLAVE, Angelina Jolie for MARIA, Daniel Craig for QUEER, Nicole Kidman for BABYGIRL and Denzel Washington for GLADIATOR II.

Based on film festival awards whirr and my very own critical gut feel, here is my early and final forecast.

Best picture

  • The Brutalist – WINNER
  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Dune: Part Two
  • I’m Still Here
  • Anora
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Nickel Boys
  • The Substance
  • Wicked

Best director

  • Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez
  • Sean Baker, Anora
  • James Mangold, A Complete Unknown
  • Brady Corbet, The Brutalist – WINNER
  • Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

Best actor

  • Adrien Brody, The Brutalist – WINNER
  • Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
  • Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
  • Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
  • Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

Best actress

  • Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
  • Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez
  • Mikey Madison, Anora
  • Demi Moore, The Substance – WINNER
  • Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here

Best supporting actor

  • Yura Borisov, Anora
  • Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain – WINNER
  • Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
  • Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice
  • Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

Best supporting actress

  • Ariana Grande, Wicked
  • Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
  • Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown
  • Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
  • Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez – WINNER

Best adapted screenplay

  • Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez
  • Peter Straughan, Conclave – WINNER
  • Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar, Sing Sing
  • Joslyn Barnes & RaMell Ross, Nickel Boys
  • James Mangold & Jay Cocks, A Complete Unknown

Best original screenplay

  • Sean Baker, Anora – WINNER
  • Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist
  • Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain
  • Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
  • Tim Fehlbaum & Moritz Binder, September 5

Best international feature

  • Emilia Pérez – WINNER
  • Flow
  • The Girl with the Needle
  • I’m Still Here
  • The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Best documentary feature

  • Sugarcane
  • No Other Land – WINNER
  • Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
  • Porcelain War
  • Black Box Diaries

Best animated feature

  • Flow
  • Inside Out 2
  • Memoir of a Snail
  • Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
  • The Wild Robot – WINNER

Best cinematography

  • The Brutalist – WINNER
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Maria
  • Nosferatu

Best film editing

  • Anora – WINNER
  • The Brutalist
  • Conclave
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Wicked

Best sound

  • A Complete Unknown
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Wicked – WINNER
  • The Wild Robot

Best score

  • The Brutalist
  • Conclave
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Wicked
  • The Wild Robot – WINNER

Best visual effects

  • Alien: Romulus
  • Better Man
  • Dune: Part Two – WINNER
  • Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
  • Wicked

Best production design

  • The Brutalist – WINNER
  • Conclave
  • Dune: Part Two
  • Nosferatu
  • Wicked

Best costume design

  • A Complete Unknown
  • Conclave
  • Gladiator II
  • Nosferatu
  • Wicked – WINNER

Best makeup and hairstyling

  • A Different Man
  • Emilia Pérez
  • Nosferatu
  • The Substance – WINNER
  • Wicked

The Oscar Awards will air on March 2, 2025.

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Picture of Rolmar Baldonado

Rolmar Baldonado

Films for the cineaste. Were you moved, transported? Did you laugh, cry? Was it cathartic? Were you disturbed, affected, riveted? Did it make you think? Freelance film editor, cineaste and cinephile Twitter: @film_critik Twitter: @rolmar Facebook Page: https://www.facebook.com/filmcritik/

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Rolmar Baldonado June 4, 2019