MY FEARLESS FORECAST
OSCAR WINNERS 2026 

Oscar 2026 nominations have been announced, with SINNERS leading the field with 16 nominations (an all-time record), followed by ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER with 13. Next came a tight cluster: FRANKENSTEIN, MARTY SUPREME, and SENTIMENTAL VALUE each scored 9, while HAMNET landed 8. Other noteworthy Best Picture contenders rounding out the lineup were BUGONIA, F1, THE SECRET AGENT and TRAIN DREAMS — with THE SECRET AGENT standing out as the "international crossover" pick that showed up in both Best Picture and International Feature.

It’s been a genuinely competitive year for nominations — the kind where the five-slot limit in the acting and directing categories doesn’t just sting, it rewrites the whole story. A few “sure thing” names and buzzy performances ended up on the outside looking in, while several inspired (and frankly delightful) picks made it through.

The snubs that surprised me most
Based on the official nominations, some of the biggest shocks (to me) were missing Best Actor nods for Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS), Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA), and Paul Mescal (HAMNET). I also didn’t expect Chase Infiniti to miss Best Actress for ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER, or Odessa A’zion to miss Supporting Actress for MARTY SUPREME. On the “wait… really?” side: Ariana Grande didn’t make the Supporting Actress lineup for WICKED FOR GOOD, Guillermo del Toro missed Director for FRANKENSTEIN, and Cannes winner Jafar Panahi also missed in Directing — even though his film appeared elsewhere on the ballot.

The surprise nominations I loved
On the brighter side, I’m thrilled for Kate Hudson landing Best Actress for SONG SUNG BLUE. I also cheered for Elle Fanning making Supporting Actress for SENTIMENTAL VALUE, and Delroy Lindo getting Supporting Actor for SINNERS. And yes — I’m thrilled to see SIRĀT show up in the International Feature section.

Oscar 2026 nominations and predicted winners
The following are the Oscar nominations and my predicted winner for each category.

Best picture

  • Bugonia
  • F1
  • Frankenstein
  • Hamnet
  • Marty Supreme
  • One Battle After Another (WINNER)
  • The Secret Agent
  • Sentimental Value
  • Sinners
  • Train Dreams

Best director

  • Paul Thomas Anderson — One Battle After Another (WINNER)
  • Chloé Zhao — Hamnet
  • Josh Safdie — Marty Supreme
  • Joachim Trier — Sentimental Value
  • Ryan Coogler — Sinners

Best actor

  • Timothée Chalamet — Marty Supreme (WINNER)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio — One Battle After Another
  • Ethan Hawke — Blue Moon
  • Michael B. Jordan — Sinners
  • Wagner Moura — The Secret Agent

Best actress

  • Jessie Buckley — Hamnet (WINNER)
  • Rose Byrne — If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
  • Kate Hudson — Song Sung Blue
  • Renate Reinsve — Sentimental Value
  • Emma Stone — Bugonia

Best supporting actor

  • Benicio del Toro — One Battle After Another
  • Jacob Elordi — Frankenstein
  • Delroy Lindo — Sinners
  • Sean Penn — One Battle After Another
  • Stellan Skarsgård — Sentimental Value (WINNER)

Best supporting actress

  • Elle Fanning — Sentimental Value
  • Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas — Sentimental Value
  • Amy Madigan — Weapons
  • Wunmi Mosaku — Sinners
  • Teyana Taylor — One Battle After Another (WINNER)

Best adapted screenplay

  • Bugonia
  • Frankenstein
  • Hamnet
  • One Battle After Another (WINNER)
  • Train Dreams

Best original screenplay

  • Blue Moon
  • It Was Just an Accident
  • Marty Supreme
  • Sentimental Value
  • Sinners (WINNER)

Best international feature

  • The Secret Agent (Brazil)
  • It Was Just an Accident (France)
  • Sentimental Value (Norway) (WINNER)
  • Sirāt (Spain)
  • The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia)

Best documentary feature

  • The Alabama Solution
  • Come See Me in the Good Light
  • Cutting through Rocks
  • Mr Nobody against Putin
  • The Perfect Neighbor (WINNER)

Best animated feature

  • Arco
  • Elio
  • KPop Demon Hunters (WINNER)
  • Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
  • Zootopia 2

Best cinematography

  • Frankenstein
  • Marty Supreme
  • One Battle after Another
  • Sinners (WINNER)
  • Train Dreams

Best film editing

  • F1
  • Marty Supreme
  • One Battle after Another (WINNER)
  • Sentimental Value
  • Sinners

Best sound

  • F1 (WINNER)
  • Frankenstein
  • One Battle after Another
  • Sinners
  • Sirāt

Best original score

  • Bugonia
  • Frankenstein
  • Hamnet
  • One Battle after Another
  • Sinners (WINNER)

Best visual effects

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash (WINNER)
  • F1
  • Jurassic World Rebirth
  • The Lost Bus
  • Sinners

Best production design

  • Frankenstein (WINNER)
  • Hamnet
  • Marty Supreme
  • One Battle after Another
  • Sinners

Best costume design

  • Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • Frankenstein (WINNER)
  • Hamnet
  • Marty Supreme
  • Sinners

Best makeup and hairstyling

  • Frankenstein (WINNER)
  • Kokuho
  • Sinners
  • The Smashing Machine
  • The Ugly Stepsister

Best Original Song

  • “Dear Me” — from Diane Warren: Relentless
  • “Golden”from KPop Demon Hunters (WINNER)
  • “I Lied to You” — from Sinners
  • “Sweet Dreams of Joy” — from Viva Verdi!
  • “Train Dreams” — from Train Dreams

Best Casting

  • Hamnet — Casting by Nina Gold
  • Marty Supreme — Casting by Jennifer Venditti
  • One Battle After Another — Casting by Cassandra Kulukundis
  • The Secret Agent — Casting by Gabriel Domingues
  • Sinners — Casting by Francine Maisler (WINNER)

The Oscars timeline
Nominations were announced on Thursday, January 22, 2026. The Oscars ceremony will be held on Sunday, March 15, 2026, at the Dolby Theatre — hosted by Conan O’Brien and airing on ABC (with streaming on Hulu).

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